Budapesti Vasas II vs Cegledi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
6º
11º
6º
13
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
53.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
53.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budapesti Vasas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HOD
0 - 0
BDP
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SZO
3 - 0
BDP
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
BDP
1 - 1
MSK
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SCG
0 - 1
BDP
6%
13%
82%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
KVS
0 - 2
BDP
44%
22%
35%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cegledi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CEG
2 - 7
MSK
17%
19%
64%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SCG
0 - 1
CEG
7%
14%
79%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ULE
5 - 0
CEG
11%
15%
74%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
CEG
0 - 1
BEK
8%
14%
78%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ESM
2 - 2
CEG
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +1 |