TSV Buchholz 08 vs Wandsbeker Concordia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
33.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
5º
13º
10º
39
13º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Buchholz 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BUC
4 - 2
RUG
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
BUC
8 - 1
DNB
64%
17%
19%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 3
BUC
80%
12%
8%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
SUD
3 - 3
BUC
81%
12%
8%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 3
HAL
26%
21%
54%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Wandsbeker Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
WAN
3 - 4
PAL
35%
24%
41%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DNB
1 - 2
WAN
22%
19%
59%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
WAN
1 - 2
SUD
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
0 - 0
WAN
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
WAN
1 - 2
HEB
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |