BSG Wismut Aue vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
55.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1976 |
ZWI
3 - 1
BWA
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1976 |
BWA
1 - 0
FVF
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
CHE
5 - 1
BWA
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
BWA
1 - 1
HAL
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1976 |
BFC
1 - 1
BWA
75%
16%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1976 |
SGD
4 - 0
BSG
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
SGD
4 - 0
FTC
82%
11%
7%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1976 |
LOK
3 - 1
SGD
31%
25%
44%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
SGD
6 - 2
ROS
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
FTC
1 - 0
SGD
34%
23%
43%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |