Bryntirion Athletic vs Caerau Ely analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bryntirion Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2010 |
BRY
2 - 1
LID
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
BRI
0 - 1
BRY
56%
21%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 1
BRY
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
BRY
2 - 0
GOY
24%
22%
54%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +4 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
TAF
3 - 0
BRY
49%
23%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
PON
0 - 2
CAE
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
CAE
1 - 4
WES
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAE
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
GOY
1 - 2
CAE
80%
13%
7%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
CAE
6 - 0
GAR
58%
22%
21%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |