Brusque vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
65.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
JEC
2 - 1
BRU
53%
23%
25%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
AVA
4 - 3
BRU
79%
14%
6%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
BRU
3 - 0
IMB
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
MET
0 - 2
BRU
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
BRU
2 - 0
CRI
27%
24%
49%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 2
CHA
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ATP
1 - 0
AVA
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
AVA
3 - 2
SAN
30%
25%
46%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
AVA
3 - 0
ATL
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SCI
2 - 3
AVA
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |