Bruno Villarreal vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
46.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bruno Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
ZAR
4 - 0
BRU
56%
22%
22%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 0
BRU
72%
18%
10%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
BRU
2 - 2
ADC
58%
22%
20%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
BRU
0 - 1
ELP
48%
24%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ALE
3 - 2
BRU
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ARI
1 - 1
NAN
61%
21%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
LAN
1 - 1
ARI
13%
20%
67%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 2
ARI
13%
20%
67%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ARI
3 - 0
IRU
54%
23%
24%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 0
ARI
70%
19%
11%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |