Brumunddal vs Birkebeineren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brumunddal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FRA
2 - 0
BRU
56%
22%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BRU
1 - 4
ELV
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
NYB
0 - 1
BRU
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BRU
1 - 0
GRO
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
GJO
2 - 1
BRU
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Birkebeineren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BIR
0 - 3
ELV
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
GRO
3 - 0
BIR
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BIR
4 - 1
VAL
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ORN
1 - 2
BIR
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
BIR
3 - 2
VAL
52%
23%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |