Brisbane Knights vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
62.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
MIT
1 - 1
BRK
66%
18%
16%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
QUE
1 - 3
BRK
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
CAP
3 - 3
PEN
22%
21%
57%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
IPS
1 - 3
PEN
16%
18%
66%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 0
UNI
76%
15%
10%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
WOL
0 - 4
PEN
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ROC
3 - 1
PEN
37%
24%
40%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |