Brescia vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BRE
0 - 0
TER
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ACD
0 - 1
BRE
28%
28%
44%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
BRE
0 - 1
LIV
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
FRO
1 - 0
BRE
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
BRE
1 - 0
LAT
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 5
FRO
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 1
VIR
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
VIR
2 - 0
MOD
28%
28%
44%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CAT
3 - 3
VIR
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 1
GEN
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |