Brentford vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 0
BRE
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BRI
2 - 4
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
BRE
0 - 4
OXF
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 2
IPS
47%
25%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 1
BRE
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
OPA
1 - 2
REA
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
REA
0 - 0
MKD
38%
27%
36%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
SHW
1 - 1
REA
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
REA
0 - 0
LEE
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
REA
29%
24%
47%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |