Breitenrain vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Breitenrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
LAN
1 - 1
BRE
12%
17%
71%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
BRE
3 - 0
BIE
19%
19%
62%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
SOL
2 - 4
BRE
21%
20%
58%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
BRE
0 - 0
MUN
72%
16%
12%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
BRE
5 - 3
VEV
42%
24%
35%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
FCC
3 - 2
LUG
23%
22%
55%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
LUG
2 - 0
YOU
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
BUL
0 - 2
LUG
48%
24%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
LUG
2 - 3
VEV
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
DEL
1 - 5
LUG
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |