Bregnanese vs Osl Garbagnate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
63.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bregnanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BRE
0 - 1
ALB
36%
24%
40%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SEN
3 - 3
BRE
41%
24%
36%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 0
RON
58%
21%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
BRE
38%
23%
40%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 1
CAB
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Osl Garbagnate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
CER
74%
15%
11%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAN
0 - 2
CAL
12%
18%
71%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 1
ALB
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SEN
0 - 0
CAL
14%
19%
67%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 1
RON
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |