Bree vs KFC Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bree
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ZWA
1 - 1
BRE
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
TON
6 - 0
BRE
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 0
HEU
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
OOS
1 - 1
BRE
58%
22%
19%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 0
WIT
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
KFC Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
HEU
1 - 0
LIL
26%
25%
49%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
LIL
1 - 1
WIT
51%
24%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
LIL
41%
24%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
LIL
0 - 3
EXV
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
LIL
1 - 1
OVE
55%
23%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |