Bray Wanderers vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
43.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2012 |
DUN
0 - 2
BRW
52%
24%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
BRW
2 - 1
BOH
31%
27%
41%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
BRW
2 - 2
SHR
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
SHE
2 - 1
BRW
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
SHE
1 - 2
BRW
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2012 |
STP
0 - 0
CAO
70%
20%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
DER
0 - 2
STP
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
SLR
1 - 1
STP
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
STP
2 - 0
UCD
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
DRO
0 - 0
STP
22%
27%
51%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |