Brasil U20 vs Ecuador U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
BRA
5 - 3
PAR
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 0
ARG
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
RSA
3 - 4
BRA
9%
17%
74%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
BRA
4 - 1
JPN
89%
8%
3%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
BRA
4 - 0
KEN
92%
6%
2%
|
86 | 43 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
KOR
2 - 1
ECU
54%
22%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ECU
0 - 0
TUR
54%
22%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
FRA
1 - 0
ECU
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ECU
3 - 0
CRC
23%
23%
54%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
ECU
0 - 2
ESP
13%
21%
66%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | -1 |