Brandão vs Arrifanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brandão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CSJ
1 - 2
BRA
9%
16%
76%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BRA
5 - 1
SMA
86%
10%
4%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 3
BRA
26%
23%
52%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
BRA
0 - 6
SPB
7%
16%
77%
|
25 | 73 | 48 | +1 |
Matches
Arrifanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 1
RME
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ROM
0 - 2
ARR
10%
17%
73%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ARR
2 - 0
RNO
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |