Bourgoin-Jallieu vs Montluçon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
2º
1º
10
13º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
57% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
92% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
92% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourgoin-Jallieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LDU
0 - 4
BOU
32%
24%
45%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BOU
0 - 4
CHA
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
THO
3 - 1
BOU
61%
20%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 2
AIN
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
BOU
2 - 1
AUR
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Montluçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MON
0 - 3
LIM
32%
25%
43%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
MOU
2 - 3
MON
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
HAL
23%
21%
57%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LDU
0 - 0
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MON
5 - 0
AUR
46%
23%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |