Bourgoin-Jallieu vs Le Puy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
57.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
8º
13º
13º
46
1º
14º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourgoin-Jallieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 1
BOU
79%
15%
6%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BOU
1 - 2
AUB
27%
26%
47%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 0
BOU
78%
15%
6%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 0
BOU
64%
22%
14%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
BOU
2 - 2
TOU
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Le Puy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
LPV
3 - 1
TOU
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
LPV
22%
26%
51%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LPV
1 - 2
FRE
56%
26%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 1
LPV
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
LPV
1 - 1
JUR
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |