Botafogo SP vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
LIN
0 - 0
BOT
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOT
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
BOT
3 - 1
MIR
30%
25%
45%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
BOT
79%
15%
6%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
BOT
3 - 1
AUD
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
ITU
81%
14%
5%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
ABC
1 - 1
SAO
15%
22%
63%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
PAL
3 - 0
SAO
66%
21%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 1
ABC
81%
14%
5%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
4 - 1
SAN
76%
17%
8%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | +1 |