Botafogo SP vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOT
79%
15%
5%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ITU
0 - 0
BOT
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 2
FFL
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CRI
0 - 0
BOT
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
AGU
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
COR
0 - 0
FER
79%
15%
6%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
UNI
65%
22%
14%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
FER
25%
28%
47%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FER
1 - 1
ESP
66%
22%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |