Botafogo SP II vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
57.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
BSP
3 - 1
POR
16%
20%
64%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
POR
2 - 1
BSP
65%
20%
16%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
BSP
0 - 0
NOR
30%
24%
47%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 2
BSP
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
BSP
2 - 0
VEL
24%
22%
55%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAO
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
23%
26%
50%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 0
BER
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BER
0 - 0
SAO
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 0
PRI
64%
23%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |