Botafogo SP II vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
63.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
POR
2 - 1
BSP
65%
20%
16%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
BSP
0 - 0
NOR
30%
24%
47%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 2
BSP
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
BSP
2 - 0
VEL
24%
22%
55%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
COM
0 - 0
BSP
55%
23%
23%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
POR
2 - 1
BSP
65%
20%
16%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
POR
1 - 2
VOT
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
VOT
0 - 3
POR
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
POR
0 - 0
ATI
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
TAU
0 - 4
POR
23%
26%
52%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |