Botafogo vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 1
AVA
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
PAL
4 - 0
BOT
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 2
GOI
56%
23%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
COT
1 - 0
BOT
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
AMF
1 - 1
BOT
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
AMF
64%
21%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
COT
1 - 1
SAO
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 1
SAO
15%
23%
63%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 2
CEA
58%
24%
18%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
AYA
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |