Botafogo vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.6%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
RES
93%
5%
2%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 2
BOT
13%
23%
64%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
BOA
0 - 0
BOT
18%
21%
61%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VAS
2 - 0
BOT
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 0
AME
87%
10%
3%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 3
ATP
18%
24%
59%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 2
BOT
13%
23%
64%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ACP
4 - 2
PAR
27%
24%
49%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CIA
1 - 1
PAR
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
ROM
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |