Botafogo vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2002 |
BOT
3 - 1
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
FOR
1 - 2
BOT
36%
27%
38%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
BOT
0 - 0
FCA
91%
7%
2%
|
79 | 14 | 65 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
FCA
2 - 2
BOT
5%
14%
81%
|
79 | 13 | 66 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
BOT
2 - 4
SAO
52%
23%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2002 |
GUA
1 - 1
PAR
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
PAR
2 - 0
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2002 |
BRA
1 - 3
PAR
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
PAR
3 - 1
GOI
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
BOT
0 - 2
PAR
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |