Carioca 1 Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Botafogo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
41.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
AUD
2 - 2
BOT
10%
21%
69%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
BOT
5 - 0
VOL
76%
16%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
POR
5 - 3
BOT
16%
25%
59%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 3
FLA
14%
20%
67%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 1
RES
87%
10%
3%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 0
FLU
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BOA
0 - 0
FLU
11%
22%
67%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
FLU
3 - 1
OLI
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
RES
0 - 4
FLU
12%
23%
66%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 0
MIL
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |