Botafogo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 2
BAH
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 1
BOT
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
VAS
0 - 0
BOT
50%
27%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAN
28%
28%
44%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 0
VAS
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
FLU
4 - 0
COT
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
ATL
3 - 1
FLU
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 0
FLU
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
FLU
1 - 0
ATL
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
FLU
2 - 1
COR
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |