Botafogo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2010 |
PAL
2 - 2
BOT
45%
25%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 1
GUA
79%
14%
7%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 2
COR
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
ATP
3 - 2
BOT
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2010 |
FLU
1 - 0
CRZ
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
FLU
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2010 |
FLU
1 - 1
GRÊ
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
AVA
0 - 3
FLU
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
FLU
2 - 1
VIT
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |