Botafogo vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
NOV
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
FRI
0 - 3
BOT
17%
23%
61%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
BAN
0 - 3
BOT
11%
22%
67%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
BOT
4 - 0
BON
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
VOL
2 - 2
BOT
16%
24%
60%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 2
FLA
10%
20%
71%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 1
FLA
12%
20%
68%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 0
BOA
81%
14%
5%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
FLA
5 - 1
CAB
83%
13%
4%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
RES
1 - 2
FLA
13%
21%
66%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |