Botafogo vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 3
BOT
21%
26%
54%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 1
GRE
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
FLU
1 - 1
BOT
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 1
PPE
69%
19%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLA
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 1
SCI
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 1
VAS
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
COT
0 - 2
FLA
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
FLA
4 - 1
CRI
62%
22%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLA
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |