Botafogo vs Alegrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.9%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.2%
4-0
12.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
15.3%
3-0
16.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.8%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.3%
1.8%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
FCA
2 - 2
BOT
5%
14%
81%
|
79 | 13 | 66 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
BOT
2 - 4
SAO
52%
23%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
POR
2 - 1
BOT
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
JUV
1 - 3
BOT
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2001 |
BOT
2 - 4
COR
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alegrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
FCA
2 - 2
BOT
5%
14%
81%
|
13 | 79 | 66 | 0 |