Botafogo vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 0
AMF
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 3
BOT
56%
25%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLA
15%
21%
65%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 2
BOT
34%
29%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 0
ATL
35%
27%
39%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
COT
2 - 0
ATL
31%
28%
42%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
AMF
2 - 0
COT
55%
24%
20%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
COT
1 - 0
AVA
53%
26%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FLU
5 - 2
COT
68%
20%
13%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
COT
0 - 1
ATM
16%
24%
60%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |