Botafogo vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
BOT
32%
29%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
VAS
0 - 1
BOT
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 1
VAS
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 1
BOT
18%
24%
58%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 0
NOV
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
COT
2 - 0
AVA
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
COT
1 - 1
CIA
71%
19%
10%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
LON
1 - 0
COT
19%
23%
58%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
ATP
2 - 1
COT
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
COT
2 - 3
CAS
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |