Botafogo vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
COM
82%
14%
4%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 0
BOT
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
FLU
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
VOT
1 - 1
BOT
11%
19%
70%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ATP
2 - 0
BOT
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 0
FLU
28%
28%
44%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 0
CHA
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 1
FFL
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 1
ATM
27%
27%
47%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 0
FLA
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |