Botafogo vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLA
15%
23%
62%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
SAN
4 - 1
BOT
67%
20%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 2
CRZ
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 0
BOT
73%
17%
9%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 1
CSA
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 2
SAN
19%
28%
53%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
GOI
2 - 0
AVA
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 3
FOR
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 2
PAL
12%
24%
64%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 0
AVA
64%
22%
13%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |