Botafogo vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 0
AMF
48%
26%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 3
BOT
22%
27%
51%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 0
FLU
27%
26%
48%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
ATP
3 - 2
BOT
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
GOI
2 - 1
BOT
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
ATP
1 - 2
GRE
52%
25%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 1
ATP
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
ATP
35%
26%
39%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
ATP
3 - 2
BOT
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ATP
3 - 2
COT
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | +1 |