Bosco Arévalo vs Real Burgos CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
74.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bosco Arévalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
UXA
3 - 0
BOS
87%
10%
4%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
BUR
2 - 0
BOS
60%
23%
18%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ARA
3 - 0
BOS
52%
22%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BOS
0 - 0
UNI
79%
13%
7%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 0
BOS
62%
21%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Burgos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
RBU
2 - 2
UNI
90%
8%
3%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 1
RBU
21%
20%
59%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
RBU
27%
23%
51%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BUR
0 - 1
RBU
21%
21%
58%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
RBU
2 - 6
SJO
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |