Borjomi vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borjomi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
MES
0 - 1
BOR
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
BOR
3 - 0
MER
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
IME
1 - 1
BOR
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
BOR
1 - 2
LIA
58%
21%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
BOR
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
GAG
2 - 1
CHK
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
GAG
1 - 2
KOL
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
MES
0 - 1
GAG
26%
25%
49%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
GAG
4 - 1
MER
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
IME
2 - 0
GAG
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -2 |