Borgo a Buggiano vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
USP
4 - 3
BOR
52%
25%
23%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BOR
3 - 0
ARZ
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SAL
3 - 1
BOR
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 1
BOR
72%
18%
10%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 2
APR
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -3 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LAQ
1 - 1
MAR
21%
24%
55%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 0
LAQ
43%
27%
31%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LAQ
1 - 1
FOL
14%
21%
66%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
ASD
2 - 4
LAQ
73%
18%
9%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LAQ
3 - 1
ARZ
38%
25%
37%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |