Borgo a Buggiano vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TER
2 - 1
BOR
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 0
VIG
41%
27%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ASD
0 - 0
BOR
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BOR
4 - 4
RAA
64%
23%
13%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
BOR
1 - 2
SAN
31%
27%
42%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 1
APR
53%
23%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
APR
3 - 0
LAQ
73%
17%
11%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 3
APR
66%
21%
14%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
APR
5 - 1
ARZ
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
APR
1 - 1
ASM
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |