Borgo a Buggiano vs AC Castellana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
BOR
1 - 2
ROV
44%
24%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ROS
2 - 2
BOR
41%
25%
35%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
BOR
1 - 1
MPO
56%
23%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
DPC
1 - 1
BOR
38%
25%
38%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
BOR
1 - 1
MEZ
56%
23%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AC Castellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
BFM
1 - 0
ACC
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ACC
2 - 3
SDA
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 1
ACC
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ACC
0 - 1
ASC
34%
26%
41%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
PON
3 - 0
ACC
57%
23%
21%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |