Boreham Wood vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
59.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boreham Wood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
BOR
1 - 1
BAR
38%
26%
37%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
BOR
43%
26%
30%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
SOU
2 - 0
BOR
35%
27%
39%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
BOR
2 - 1
OLD
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
EAS
1 - 0
BOR
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
DER
4 - 0
STA
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 0
STA
24%
26%
50%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
STA
1 - 1
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
BUR
2 - 4
STA
42%
24%
35%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
STA
1 - 1
OXF
29%
25%
47%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |