Bonsucesso vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CFZ
1 - 2
BON
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
BON
3 - 3
MES
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
ANG
1 - 3
BON
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
BON
1 - 1
ESE
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
DUQ
0 - 0
BON
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
DUQ
0 - 0
ANG
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
DUQ
2 - 0
ESE
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
MES
0 - 0
DUQ
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
DUQ
3 - 1
CFZ
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
BAN
1 - 2
DUQ
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |