B 1921 vs B 1903 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
58.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BKF
3 - 2
BON
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BON
1 - 3
FCH
14%
20%
66%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
NBB
5 - 2
BON
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BON
0 - 1
DOL
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
HBK
0 - 1
BON
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
B 1903
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
B19
4 - 2
GVI
71%
18%
10%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
FRE
2 - 4
B19
28%
25%
48%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
LBK
2 - 1
B19
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
B19
0 - 0
BKF
77%
16%
8%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FCH
4 - 0
B19
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |