Bojano vs Sulmona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
72.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bojano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
JES
7 - 0
ASB
81%
13%
6%
|
7 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VIS
8 - 0
ASB
80%
14%
6%
|
7 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
ASB
0 - 5
AMI
12%
21%
67%
|
8 | 31 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MAT
9 - 0
ASB
87%
10%
4%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ASB
2 - 9
OLY
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Sulmona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ASC
0 - 3
TER
26%
22%
52%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
AMI
0 - 1
ASC
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ASC
2 - 5
FER
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ASC
1 - 2
MAT
27%
25%
48%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
VIS
1 - 1
ASC
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |