Bogotá vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
50.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
8º
11º
12º
1
4º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
3 | 10 |
1º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 10 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 10 |
3º
|
9% | |
|
|
11º
|
1 | 8 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 8 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 8 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
1º
|
4 | 7 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 7 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 7 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 6 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 5 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
1 | 5 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 5 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 5 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 4 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
37.5% | 77% |
|
Mid-table
|
62.5% | 23% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
ORS
1 - 1
BOG
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2025 |
BOG
0 - 3
PER
19%
22%
59%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
EQU
1 - 2
BOG
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2025 |
BOG
0 - 0
LEO
21%
20%
59%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
FOR
2 - 0
BOG
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 0
COR
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 3
COR
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2025 |
TFC
1 - 1
CAR
23%
26%
51%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
JAG
2 - 0
CAR
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 4
JAG
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |