Boca Juniors II vs Sarmiento II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.6%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
TIG
2 - 2
BOC
20%
25%
55%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
QUI
75%
17%
8%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GOC
1 - 2
BOC
23%
26%
52%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 1
BEL
60%
22%
18%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 1
BOC
33%
28%
40%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 3
IND
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
HUR
1 - 0
SAR
74%
16%
11%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
NOB
14%
19%
67%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
EST
3 - 1
SAR
75%
15%
9%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 2
ARS
41%
24%
35%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |