Boca Juniors vs St. Joseph's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
49.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
GLA
7 - 1
BOC
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2001 |
LAG
0 - 3
BOC
1%
12%
87%
|
59 | 12 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
St. Joseph's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
JOS
2 - 0
LIO
78%
15%
8%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
GLA
0 - 4
JOS
35%
25%
40%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
LRI
1 - 0
JOS
73%
17%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
JOS
4 - 2
GIB
92%
7%
1%
|
65 | 30 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
COC
0 - 3
JOS
2%
10%
88%
|
65 | 10 | 55 | 0 |