Blagnac vs Toulouse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
MON
0 - 0
BLA
43%
25%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
BLA
1 - 2
TRE
44%
27%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BRI
1 - 1
BLA
44%
25%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BLA
2 - 1
LOR
62%
21%
16%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
LCF
1 - 1
BLA
28%
24%
48%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
TOU
3 - 0
SAI
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
STA
0 - 0
TOU
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
TOU
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
TOU
3 - 1
TRE
41%
28%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
BRI
1 - 0
TOU
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |