Birkebeineren vs Brumunddal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkebeineren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
ELV
2 - 0
BIR
64%
21%
16%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
BIR
2 - 0
GRO
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 5
BIR
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
BIR
3 - 1
ORN
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 3
BIR
79%
13%
9%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Brumunddal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
BRU
1 - 2
FRA
43%
23%
34%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
ELV
1 - 1
BRU
66%
20%
15%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
BRU
1 - 5
NYB
31%
23%
46%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 0
BRU
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
BRU
2 - 2
GJO
52%
22%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |